Celine Cremer Investigation # 4: The Twisted Twists of Fate
For my fourth investigation into the disappearance of Celine Cremer, I travelled to Philosopher Falls in Tasmania to walk the trail myself. One of the most enduring theories is that Celine simply became lost—but does that theory hold up when you experience the terrain firsthand?
In this two-part series, I put that question to the test. In Part One, I examine the "lost" theory by following the trail, assessing the landscape, and comparing it to the known facts of Celine's disappearance. I should also clarify, that by ‘lost’ theory, I am referring to the reason why and how she ended up lost in the forest. In Part Two, I share the unexpected psychic impressions I experienced while walking the same path—a deeply personal perspective that added another dimension to this investigation.
Could Celine really have vanished because she lost her way, or does the trail raise more questions than it answers?
The Trip
On 17 April 2026, I travelled to Tasmania and made my way overland to Waratah in the state's northwest, home to Philosopher Falls. From the moment I arrived, I felt Celine's presence growing stronger.
That first evening, after checking into my accommodation in Hobart, I opened YouTube. The very first video recommended in my feed was Part One of Australian Story: Lost—ABC's new two-part documentary on Celine's disappearance. It had been released just five days earlier.
Lying in bed that night, thousands of kilometres from home and only hours before beginning my journey to Philosopher Falls, I watched the documentary. It felt like more than a coincidence. It became the final piece of preparation before I set out to walk the same trail where Celine had vanished.
The documentary gave me a deeper insight into Celine as a person. Through the memories shared by her friends, I gained a clearer sense of her character and the kind of person she was. As I watched, I also found myself picking up additional impressions of my own.
From my perspective, her friends did not seem to believe that Celine had simply wandered off the track. They described her as cautious, thoughtful, and not someone who took unnecessary risks. That stood out to me because it appeared at odds with the theory that she strayed from a well-marked trail.
Those descriptions became important as I prepared to walk the track myself. If Celine was as careful as those who knew her best described, I wanted to see whether the "wandered off the trail and became lost" theory made sense when viewed against the reality of the terrain.
Another detail from the documentary caught my attention. It showed footage from a video Celine had sent to a friend well before she arrived in Waratah. In the video, she remarked that it gets dark in Tasmania by around 4:30 p.m.
To me, this was a significant clue. It suggested that Celine was well aware of how quickly daylight faded in Tasmania and had already taken note of it during her travels. That awareness seemed inconsistent with the idea that she would knowingly begin or prolong a hike without considering the limited daylight available. As I prepared to walk the Philosopher Falls trail myself, this was another factor I wanted to keep in mind.
The Theories
The specific theories I set out to test on the Philosopher Falls trail were:
Would a woman hike this trail alone?
Could Celine have wandered beyond the falls without realising how close nightfall was?
Could Celine have been unaware that darkness was approaching?
Could Celine have missed the staircase leading down to Philosopher Falls?
Could Celine have continued beyond the falls, unaware that the trail had effectively ended ?
Could Celine have chosen to wander beyond the falls along the water race deeper into the forest?
These six questions formed the basis of my on-site investigation and allowed me to compare the commonly proposed "lost" theories with the physical reality of the trail.
The Trail
The Philosopher Falls trail is one of the most beautiful walking tracks I have ever experienced. Stepping onto the path felt like entering a magical wonderland. Moss-covered trees and rocks carpeted the forest floor, towering rainforest giants stretched overhead, and an incredible variety of fungi and mushrooms emerged from every fallen log and shaded corner. It is an ancient, lush landscape that feels almost untouched by time.
I walked the trail with my partner, who accompanied me not only for safety but also as a witness to my spoken psychic impressions and observations throughout the journey. As experiences came to me, I voiced them aloud in real time, allowing him to hear exactly what I was perceiving as we progressed along the track.
For this first part of the investigation, however, my focus was on the physical environment itself. I wanted to experience the trail exactly as a first-time visitor would and determine whether the commonly proposed "lost" theories were supported by what I found on the ground.
The first thing I noticed as I stepped into the forest was the darkness and the silence. Even though we began the walk at around 11:00 a.m. on an overcast day in April, the rainforest felt surprisingly dim. The dense canopy allowed very little light to penetrate, creating an atmosphere that was both peaceful and eerie.
Experiencing those conditions firsthand gave me a much greater appreciation of how different this environment feels once you are beneath the trees. The darkness is immediate, and the silence is striking—two factors that are difficult to fully understand until you walk the trail yourself.
The Theories Tested
Would a woman hike this trail alone?
In my assessment: Yes.
While it is not something I personally would feel comfortable doing, it is clearly within the realm of what people do on this track. During my own walk along the Philosopher Falls trail, I passed a number of solo walkers of both genders hiking alone.
That observation alone demonstrates that solo female hikers do use this trail. It suggests that walking the track alone is not unusual or inherently improbable, even if it may feel uncomfortable or unsafe to some individuals depending on their own experience and risk perception.
From what I observed on the ground, the trail is accessible and commonly used, including by solo walkers. As such, the idea that Celine was walking the track alone is entirely plausible.
Could Celine have wandered beyond the falls without realising how close nightfall was?
In my assessment: No.
Footage shown in the ABC Australian Story: Lost documentary indicates that Celine was aware of how early it becomes dark in Tasmania. In the program, she is seen in a video recorded prior to her time at Waratah, where she explicitly notes that it gets dark in Tasmania as early as around 4:30 p.m. This suggests she had already taken onboard information about the shortened daylight hours in the state.
When this is considered alongside the physical environment of Philosopher Falls—where dense rainforest conditions already reduce light significantly well before sunset—the idea that she would have unknowingly continued walking without appreciating the approach of nightfall becomes difficult to support.
Taken together, the documentary material and the environmental conditions observed on the ground weaken the likelihood of this theory.
Could Celine have been unaware that darkness was approaching?
In my assessment:No.
Even during my own walk through the Philosopher Falls trail—at around 11:00 a.m. on an overcast April day—the forest was already noticeably dark beneath the dense canopy. The light is heavily filtered by the rainforest, creating an atmosphere that feels far closer to dusk than midday.
Celine entered this same environment at approximately 2:30 p.m., close to the shortest day of the year. With overcast conditions and the thick vegetation typical of this rainforest, the forest would already have been significantly dim, with daylight fading far earlier than the official sunset time.
From my experience on the trail, the darkness inside the forest is not subtle—it is immediate and enclosing. Given her prior awareness that Tasmania experiences early sunsets, and the conditions present within the forest itself, it is difficult to support the idea that she would have been unaware that nightfall was approaching.
Could Celine have missed the staircase leading down to Philosopher Falls?
In my assessment: no.
On the ground, there are multiple clear indicators that guide walkers toward the falls. The infrastructure leading to the viewing area is consistent in design and materials, including a bridge and footbridges constructed from the same style of steel as the staircase itself. This continuity makes the route feel intentional and cohesive rather than fragmented or confusing.
In addition to the visual cues, there is also a strong auditory marker: the sound of rushing water from the falls becomes increasingly audible as you approach the staircase. In my experience, that sound acts as a natural guide, drawing attention toward the descent point rather than away from it.
Taken together—the consistent infrastructure, the clear directional flow of the track, and the audible presence of the falls—it is difficult to see how a walker would simply miss the staircase without noticing they had reached a significant point of interest on the trail.
Could Celine have continued beyond the falls, unaware that the trail had effectively ended?
In my assessment: No.
While it is true that at the time there were no signs specifically marking the falls, the physical environment itself provides strong directional cues. The steel staircase leading down to Philosopher Falls is a substantial structure, clearly distinct within the landscape. It sits within a consistent network of constructed elements along the track, including bridges and boardwalk sections built from the same materials and design language, which together signal a deliberate and maintained walking route.
Once you reach the falls, the sound of rushing water becomes unmistakable. It is a natural auditory landmark that intensifies as you approach the descent, reinforcing the sense that you have arrived at a destination rather than a midpoint in the walk.
It is also important to note that while a water race does continue beyond the staircase, it does not present itself as an extension of the walking track further than about 20 metres. At this point there is a lot of obstruction, the trail becomes unclear and turns into a windy unmarked track about 1 foot wide. The track is not well defined at this point even if it clears further along. It is not in any way clear or inviting. In my experience, nothing about the layout suggests that the main trail continues past the falls in a way that would reasonably encourage a first-time visitor to proceed further.
For these reasons—the scale and clarity of the infrastructure, the coherence of the design, and the strong sensory cues of the falls themselves—I do not believe it is likely that someone would pass through the area thinking the trail continued beyond the waterfall without realising they had reached the destination.
Could Celine have chosen to wander beyond the falls along the water race deeper into the forest?
In my assessment: No.
Given what Celine’s friends have said about her character—that she did not take unnecessary risks—the idea of her continuing beyond the falls and following the water race deeper into the forest becomes harder to reconcile.
From what I observed on the ground, the area beyond Philosopher Falls changes noticeably from a maintained walking environment into something far more informal and uncertain. The infrastructure disappears, the track becomes less defined, and obstacles such as fallen trees and uneven terrain quickly increase the difficulty of navigation. It is the kind of environment where a walker needs to be actively making decisions about direction rather than simply following a clearly marked route.
In that context, deliberately continuing further into that terrain out of curiosity would represent a significant escalation in exposure to risk compared to remaining on the established trail. When this is considered alongside the descriptions from her friends—that she was cautious and not inclined to take unnecessary risks—the likelihood of her intentionally venturing deeper into that area appears reduced.
Taken together, the behavioural profile described by those who knew her, the physical reality of the terrain and the fact that she was aware of the time of nightfall it would suggest that while brief curiosity near the falls is plausible, extended exploration beyond that point becomes increasingly inconsistent with the way she has been described.
This provides me with further conviction that Celine did not wander deeper into the forest beyond the falls out of curiosity or confusion about the trail or nightfall. So why did she end up well beyond the Falls on dark?
Join me next time for Part 2, where I'll share the psychic impressions and information I received through mediumship as I walked the trail, along with how those impressions shaped my personal perspective on the case. If you are enjoying this content, I provide updates on my Social Media of new case files and case file updates.